← 0720(日)永和豬豬玩具_下午1點半_台北101夏季聯賽
Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1
at 0720(日)永和豬豬玩具_下午1點半_台北101夏季聯賽
decks
3
(15.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
20
10-7-3
overall winrate
57.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.8%
avg ELO +0.3 per match
expected value
55.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1277
· median 1261
· range 1186–1383
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
807
Q1 1204
Q3 1435
1495
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
33% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Allies | 20.0% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 51.8% | +1.1 |
| Water Fractal | 15.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 10.0% | 3 | 0-1-2 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 48.9% | -0.8 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 10.0% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 49.1% | -0.6 |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.1% | +3.3 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 5.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 5.0% | 3 | 0-2-1 | 16.7% | 35.7% | 50.3% | +0.2 |
| Wind Overlord | 5.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.9% | -0.1 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.3% | +2.0 |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
